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Bruce Newton31 Jul 2015
NEWS

MOTORSPORT: Who will challenge Winterbottom?

And who will be driving what V8 Supercar in 2016?

As the V8 Supercars circus heads to Queensland Raceway near Ipswich this weekend, the key question on-track is who among Mark Winterbottom's rivals will emerge to challenge him for the 2015 drivers' championship.

The key question off-track is which teams will those rivals be driving for in 2016?

Since early May Winterbottom has been in a class of his own once the green light has flashed on, taking six wins from 11 starts in his Prodrive Racing Australia Pepsi-Max Ford Falcon FG X and building a 248-point buffer over Craig Lowndes and his Red Bull Racing Holden Commodore VF.

And while Winterbottom has been dominating the races, his fast but inexperienced teammate Chaz Mostert has been doing the same job in qualifying, starting on the front row eight times in the last 11 starts, six of them from pole.

And jostling with both of them has been the PRA-satellite Bottle-O entry of David Reynolds, who has had a great recent run to vault past Mostert into fourth in the championship.

All this fast Ford form has led to plenty of speculation about aerodynamic parity equations gone wrong, but V8 Supercars stoutly insists that isn't the case.

The word is quietly being put about that the data actually shows the Ford isn't faster, it's the VF – which had its own aero overhaul in the off-season – that has traded in cornering prowess for straight-line speed to the detriment of its lap times.

Whatever, the real story – and it's undoubtedly complex given how hard these teams work to eke out the smallest technical advantage – the reality is Winterbottom has set up an incredibly solid foundation for a shot at his first V8 drivers' championship and PRA's first team's championship... After more than decade of trying.

All this in the year that is their last as paid representatives of the Ford Motor Company.

Speaking of pay, the senior drivers out of contract (with current team in brackets) are Fabian Coulthard (Brad Jones Racing), David Reynolds (Rod Nash Racing), James Moffat (Nissan Motorsport) and Tim Slade (Walkinshaw/Supercheap Auto Racing).

Then there are the up and comers, lesser lights, would-bes and could-bes who also want a drive in 2016; Scott Pye (DJR Team Penske), Cam Waters (development series), Dale Wood (BJR), David Wall (Volvo) and Tim Blanchard (LDM).

Marcos Ambrose is harder to classify. He has to decide if he will continue his aborted return to the championship. Most people seem to think he won't. Ambrose says he will make a call after the enduros.

Another veteran, Jason Bright, is on a rolling deal with BJR but there's no news for 2016 yet.

Then there's a bunch of drivers who are contracted for next year (and beyond in some cases) who have been mentioned as possible movers anyway, the most obvious being Will Davison (Erebus) who is on big bucks at a financially-strapped team.

On top of the teams listed above, who will potentially be looking for a new driver, you can add Tekno Autosports. It has already lost Shane van Gisbergen to the expanding Triple Eight Race Engineering. Then there's DJR Team Penske, which could be looking for two drivers, if (and that's a big if right now) it expands to two cars and neither of its current drivers re-sign.

Coulthard, who is third in the championship in the Freightliner Racing VF is the lynchpin to all this driver movement, but Reynolds' stocks are rising rapidly. Moffat is still well regarded despite being frustrated by the under-powered Nissan Altima, but Slade – who is yet to win after more than 200 race starts – needs to remind the paddock of the speed which took him to the front of the field a few years ago. He is something of an Ipswich specialist so maybe this weekend?

Overlaying all this are question marks over the future of naming rights sponsors including Pepsi-Max, Bottle-O, Supercheap and Darrel Lea (at Tekno).

So all that adds up to many different potential scenarios in terms of driver, sponsors and team placements for 2016. It's entirely likely much of it will only become clear months from now.

So let's focus on this weekend instead. On-track here's what to look out for:

  • >> The Coates Hire Ipswich SuperSprint comprises races 18, 19 and 20 of the 36 race championship; two 60km sprints on Saturday and a 200km mini-marathon on Sunday.

  • >> Nicknamed 'The Paperclip', the circuit looks simple, with only six turns and no elevation changes, but turns one and two are fast and the turns three-to-six complex is slower. Making the car work over the bumps and under brakes is crucial.

  • >> This is the second SuperSprint where one 60km race will run on hard Dunlop control tyres and the other on softs. The usually predictable sprints were humdingers in Darwin, but the jury is out on whether that was due to the change in tyre rules or the freshly resurfaced track.

  • >> Ipswich is the test track for all the Queensland-based teams including perennial front-runner Triple Eight (Red Bull). That team enters this event with a new engineering structure confirmed in response to the poor form of six-time and defending V8 champion Jamie Whincup, who lags in eighth place 391 points off the pace. The team's technical guru Ludo Lacroix has been developing new go-faster bits that are expected to start flowing from this weekend.

  • >> Last year's winners at Ipswich were Whincup (both 100km races on Saturday) and the Holden Racing Team's James Courtney in the 200km Sunday race.

  • >> Whincup scored the second leg of his double after Michael Caruso's Nissan carted off Scott McLaughlin's Volvo as they battled for the win. Expect the Nissans to perform well here again. The Volvo? A steady stream of blown engines has blighted the S60's progress in 2015, but McLaughlin claimed a pole last time out, so at least pace is improving.

  • >> PRA has not won here since Winterbottom's double triumph in 2008, but Mostert scored his first championship race win here in 2013 in a DJR Falcon.

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